Sunday Thematic & Weekly Recap

Stock Picking Amid Rising Uncertainty – Hard But Not Impossible
August 14, 2022
Commodities Mentioned:
PVC, Polypropylene, Polyethylene, Polyurethane, Polycarbonate, Polystyrene, PET, Clean Energy Minerals, Carbon Dioxide, Hydrogen, Natural Gas/NGLs, Crude/Naphtha, Renewable Power, Solar, Wind, Materials, Lithium, Biofuels, EVs, Water, Carbon, LNG, Copper, Ammonia, Nuclear Power, Polysilicon, Minerals, Polymers, Ethylene, Biomass, Syngas, Jet Fuel, Recycled Polymer, Basic Chemicals
Companies Mentioned:
Westlake, Formosa Plastics, Shin-Etsu, Oxy, Braskem, LyondellBasell, TotalEnergies, ExxonMobil, Ineos, Nova Chemicals, Enterprise Products, Nutrien, CF Industries, LSB Industries, Mosaic, Corteva, Huntsman, BASF, Dow, Covestro, Trinseo, Energy Transfer, Wood, Southwestern Energy, Cabot, Evonik, Fertiglobe, OCI NV, Firmenich, Gail, Borealis, Ingrevia, Maire Tecnimont, American Vanguard, Nucor, Nippon Soda, Sabic, Sappi, Oz Mineral, AdvanSix, Yasho Industries, GEVO, Broadwind, Honeywell, Sasol, Veolia, KBR, McDermott, Tyson Foods, IHG, Micron, Asahi Kasei, Altana, Pembina, Oneok, Pinnacle Polymers, Heartland Polymers, Brenntag, Williams, PennEnergy, Idemitsu, Air Liquide, Henkel, Indorama Ventures, Nissan Chemical, Sumitomo Bakelite, PTTGC, Toray, Tokai Carbon, Bloom Energy, ADM, SK Innovation, Danimer Scientific, Tata Chemicals, Topsoe, Selenis, Ascent Industries, Vestas, Next Era Energy, Denbury, Talos Energy, Mitsui & Co., Plug Power, FuelCell Energy, Ballard Power Systems, WACKER, Shell, Air Products, Fulcrum Bioenergy, Amyris, CapturePoint Solutions, Volta, Wintershall Dea, Stem, TPI Composites, Aemetis, Clean Energy Fuels, Fluence Energy, Proterra, Microvast Holdings, Lucid, Workhorse Group, Origin Materials, SolarEdge, Mullen Automotive, Hyzon, Crown ElectroKinetics, American Superconductor, Orbia, Olin, K+S, Kuraray, Bodal Chemicals, Sumitomo Seika, Hikal, Kao, Excelerate Energy, Ceres Power, Rivian, Mol, Enviva, Repsol, Avient, Advent Technologies, Phillips 66, Chevron

C-MACC Sunday Thematic & Weekly Recap 130

Stock Picking Amid Rising Uncertainty – Hard But Not Impossible

  • While global uncertainty remains elevated, our daily analysis suggests that for chemicals and related sector stocks – uncertainty is higher than implied below
  • In the financial crisis, at least, we knew what it was – a financial crisis – today, we have more geopolitical uncertainty than at any time in the last 35 years.
  • Markets also face an energy crisis, a potential climate crisis, and stark political polarization in the US and some other countries, amid the misuse of social media.  
  • The stock market, in our view, is driven by knee-jerk reactions to news versus the sound analysis we would have expected ten years ago, and data is unreliable.
  • We would stay away from Europe and invest in agriculture, critical energy transition metals, and some energy transition sectors and industrial gases.  

Last week we discussed 34 Chemicals and related products and 126 Companies.

See PDF below for all charts, tables and diagrams

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