Sunday Thematic & Weekly Recap

Visions Of China: Geopolitical Risk Is Rising – How Do You Plan?
May 22, 2023
Commodities Mentioned:
Plastics, PVC, Polyethylene, Polypropylene, PU, PC, PET, Critical Minerals, Carbon Dioxide, Hydrogen, Natural Gas/NGLs, Crude/Naphtha, EVs, Ammonia, Renewable Power, Solar, Wind, Renewable Diesel, Biofuels, Polyester, Polyolefins, Polystyrene, PHA, Polyurethanes, Fossil Fuels, CCS, DAC, Fuel Cells, Lithium, Water
Companies Mentioned:
Westlake, LyondellBasell, Braskem, Dow, ExxonMobil, Chevron Phillips Chemical, Formosa Plastics, Oxy, Shin-Etsu, Pinnacle Polymers, Ineos, PPG, Sherwin-Williams, Celanese, Avient, Shell, Oneok, Magellan Midstream, Tianqi Lithium, Asahi Kasei, BASF, LG Chem, Nissan Chemical, Sumitomo Bakelite, Sakai Chemical, Orbia, Wanhua, Gail, Apollo Management, Wood Group, Worley, Venator, DIC, Eastman, Sumitomo Chemical, Solvay, Osaka Soda, Tokai Carbon, Ube, Borealis, MOL, Wacker, TotalEnergies, Evonik, Arkema, Syngenta, FMC, Indian Oil, Bharat Petroleum, Petrobras, Technip Energies, Samsung Engineering, OMV, Mitsubishi Chemical, Bunge, Nutrien, Idemitsu, Kaneka, 3M, Svante, Adnoc, PKN Orlen, Vital Energy, Venture Global, Cheniere, Sonatrach, Lithium Americas, Birla Carbon, Lowercarbon Capital, Fujifilm, Azelis, DSM, Henkel, Vanguard Renewables, EVgo, Stellantis, Target, T.J. Maxx, Tesla, Lucid, Polestar, Geely, Byd, VinFast, Arrival Group, Nikola, Hyzon Motors, Canoo, Nio, Lion Electric, Hyliion, Fisker, Tata Motors, Aston Martin, Coca-Cola, CuRe Technology, Aramco, NET Power, X-Energy, Topsoe, Siemens Gamesa, Bloom Energy, Navigator Holdings, Enterprise Products, Nova Chemicals, Cepsa, Valero, Nufarm, Delo, OQ Chemicals, Marathon Petroleum, Sinopec, ADM, Aspen Technology, Monro, Williams, Entegris, Técnicas, Eagle Materials, Dole, Teva, Walmart, Home Depot, Universal Display Corp., Olin, Invista, QatarEnergy, Berkshire Hathaway, Saipem, AkzoNobel, Covestro, IMCD, Livent, Allkem, SQM, Albemarle, Maire Tecnimont, Hokkaido Electric, Western Potash, Croda, Foot Locker, NEOM, Codelco, Ford, Disney

C-MACC Sunday Thematic & Weekly Recap 169

Visions Of China: Geopolitical Risk Is Rising – How Do You Plan?

  • One of the central themes of the G7 has been the perceived rising threat of China on top of a less theoretical risk from Russia – Japan invited more possible allies.
  • Large chemical and other industrial developments take years to build and many more years to generate returns – you now must model a less stable world.   
  • Geopolitical uncertainty of the 70s/80s was in a less connected world – G7 was 50% of global GDP in 1990 versus 30% now, and now dependent on global trade  
  • We look at improved, but still very weak chemical operating rates in Europe and question whether a round of permanent closures is imminent; good for US exports  
  • We note the US power regions that have a lot of renewables and not enough storage if we see weather anomalies, we also look at consumer spending

Last week we discussed 32 Chemicals and Related Products and 145 Companies.

See PDF below for all charts, tables and diagrams

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