Category: Base Chemical Global Analysis

Base Chemical Global Analysis
Global Weekly Catalyst No. 313

General Thoughts: Across markets, tighter conditions are mainly driven by higher costs and lingering curtailments, not by demand, as US propylene firms WoW, while early-year

Base Chemical Global Analysis
Global Weekly Catalyst No. 312

General Thoughts: Early-year chemical spot prices and relative feedstock cost movements suggest that the pace of restructuring and regional return-enhancement efforts will be more decisive

Base Chemical Global Analysis
Global Weekly Catalyst No. 311

General Thoughts: Depressed global chemical sector growth expectations, co-product erosion, and flattened cost curves make restructuring pace and margin resilience more decisive than demand recovery

Base Chemical Global Analysis
Global Weekly Catalyst No. 310

General Thoughts: Feedstock convergence is eroding regional cost advantages amid weak demand, leaving supply discipline, not demand recovery, as the clearing mechanism into 2026, keeping

Base Chemical Global Analysis
Global Weekly Catalyst No. 309

General Thoughts: Chemical feedstock movements drive greater sector margin compression WoW than price shifts, as late 2025 supply adjustments and flatter global cost curves shape

Base Chemical Global Analysis
Global Weekly Catalyst No. 308

General Thoughts: Chemical feedstock movements impact producer margins WoW more than price movements, as chemical supply shifts in October and November have helped balance most

Base Chemical Global Analysis
Global Weekly Catalyst No. 307

General Thoughts: Exporting the advantaged US ethane cost position and surplus ethylene amid low oil prices and downstream market oversupply will likely be a bumpy

Base Chemical Global Analysis
Global Weekly Catalyst No. 306

General Thoughts: Sector momentum in late 2025 reflects commodity divergence, with easing crude and Ex-US natural gas prices, firm US gas, and mixed demand exposing

Base Chemical Global Analysis
Global Weekly Catalyst No. 305

General Thoughts: Global chemical profit improvement in the near term depends less on cyclical recovery and more on rationalized capacity, cost integration, and policy agility

Base Chemical Global Analysis
Global Weekly Catalyst No. 304

General Thoughts: Chemical feedstock volatility is uneven and mostly net-margin negative, as derivative demand stays soft into early November and rationalization, not restarts, is broadly