
Plastic Love: Design It Right, Dodge The Fee Fight
1st Topic of the Week: As EPR increasingly shifts packaging economics, which value-chain players will redesign fastest to protect margins, and who risks absorbing compounding
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1st Topic of the Week: As EPR increasingly shifts packaging economics, which value-chain players will redesign fastest to protect margins, and who risks absorbing compounding

General Thoughts: Ammonia’s fertilizer-anchored cycle diverges from most chemicals, signaling tight supply and investment incentives, while petrochemicals face surplus-driven signals discouraging growth capital.
Supply Chain/Commodities:

General Thoughts: Value premia earned through differentiation at cycle troughs can signal future share gains, enabling advantaged producers to run hard, more consistently price on

General Thoughts: Natural gas volatility now translates into risk, as export integration, consolidation, and midstream optionality reprice feedstock economics, slow marginal investment, and lift risk
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