Base Chemical Global Analysis

Weekly, Data-Centric Intelligence on Core Chemical Market

Our Base Chemical & Polymer Analysis reports offer a comprehensive, data-rich snapshot of global market dynamics every week. Each edition delivers actionable insights backed by curated charts and margin models to help you stay ahead of market movements, arbitrage trends, and structural shifts.

Reports

Global Weekly Catalyst No. 319

General Thoughts: Oil-to-gas dispersion, cracker co-product volatility, and logistics bottlenecks signal that 2026 returns will reward integration and execution over scale, while accelerating needed sector rationalizations.

Feedstocks & Energy: Crude’s renewed strength amid easing natural gas and ethane prices is widening global cost differentials, strengthening North America’s petrochemical cost advantage

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Global Weekly Catalyst No. 318

General Thoughts: Structural global base chemical oversupply delays synchronization, leaving 2026 margins governed by feedstock dispersion, logistics control, and disciplined utilization rather than demand recovery.

Feedstocks & Energy: Crude firmness versus easing gas widens cost dispersion, sustaining regional chemical bifurcation as export-anchored NGL flows prevent cost deflation and reinforce structural

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Global Weekly Catalyst No. 317

General Thoughts: Global chemical markets are fragmenting across feedstocks, chemicals, and fuels, rewarding logistics, integration, and discipline, while exposing structurally misaligned assets to prolonged margin erosion.

Feedstocks & Energy: Diverging crude and natural gas prices are reopening regional feedstock wedges, reinforcing US and ME cost advantages while accelerating capacity

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Global Weekly Catalyst No. 316

General Thoughts: Energy retracement and post-storm natural gas normalization begin to restore relative cost balance, enabling advantaged producers to outperform, while persistent oversupply constrains pricing power.

Feedstocks & Energy: Brent crude oil retreated but remains range-bound, likely reducing further naphtha cost creep, and US natural gas retraces more quickly than

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Global Weekly Catalyst No. 315

General Thoughts: Energy volatility and weather shocks are shifting margins across chemicals and fuels, as producers with cost advantages and logistics strength outperform. Execution will matter more through 2026.

Feedstocks & Energy: Freeze-driven natural gas price spikes are lifting global cost floors, as crude remains broadly range-bound, with petrochemical margins

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Global Weekly Catalyst No. 314

General Thoughts: Energy volatility, logistics, and policy shape margins across chemicals, agriculture, and fuels, favoring low-cost, disciplined operators as global markets transition toward execution-driven balance through 2026.

Feedstocks & Energy: Weather-driven gas volatility lifts gas-linked feedstocks, crude stays range-bound, chemical margins tighten, and low-cost, capital-disciplined operators outperform amid dispersion in

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Global Weekly Catalyst No. 313

General Thoughts: Across markets, tighter conditions are mainly driven by higher costs and lingering curtailments, not by demand, as US propylene firms WoW, while early-year consumption growth remains generally tepid globally.

Feedstocks & Energy: Expectations for global feedstock-level petrochemical cost curves to remain relatively flat and oversupplied markets to persist

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Global Weekly Catalyst No. 312

General Thoughts: Early-year chemical spot prices and relative feedstock cost movements suggest that the pace of restructuring and regional return-enhancement efforts will be more decisive than demand recovery in 1H26.

Feedstocks & Energy: Feedstock cost relief caps prices but quietly sets asymmetric upside, because depressed expectations, fragile oil discipline, and

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Global Weekly Catalyst No. 311

General Thoughts: Depressed global chemical sector growth expectations, co-product erosion, and flattened cost curves make restructuring pace and margin resilience more decisive than demand recovery in 1H26.

Feedstocks & Energy: Flattening cost curves and sustained oil-gas divergence pressure margins, but upside risk for chemical prices appears biased relative to already

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