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From the Chemical Research Service

Global Chemical Update – US Costs Fall More than Prices, For Most

The Weekly Catalyst Global Chemical Update – US Costs Fall More than Prices, For Most US ethylene production economics, based on ethane feedstock, held up WoW, as cost deflation helps support domestic ethylene profit and integrated domestic polymer margins despite...

Global Chemical Update – US Prices Need Ex-US Cost Support

The Weekly Catalyst Global Chemical Update – US Prices Need Ex-US Cost Support Key Points: We remain more confident in the slope of the global chemical cost curve and supply improvement staying in favor of current low-cost producers in 1H24 than in a global demand...

Global Chemical Update – Heading Into A Colder Setting

The Weekly Catalyst Global Chemical Update – Heading Into A Colder Setting Key Points: Polyethylene (PE) and Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) spot prices fell more in the US than abroad WoW, but Polypropylene (PP) values strengthened WoW despite US propylene and Ex-US PP...

Global Chemical Update – Back To A Holding Pattern?

The Weekly Catalyst Global Chemical Update – Back To A Holding Pattern? Key Points: Global ammonia prices, on average, have rebounded from mid-year lows amid rebounding demand and Ex-US production costs reverting upwards relative to US levels, creating a positive...

Global Chemical Update – Bracing For A Kick To The PP

The Weekly Catalyst Global Chemical Update – Bracing For A Kick To The PP Key Points: The weakness in Brent Crude Oil values relative to US natural gas during the past three months has favored lower polymer prices despite outages working in favor of some, such as...

Tougher Than The Rest – Disruptions Support US Propylene, Oil Price Weakness Favors Lower Global Chemical Prices

Daily Chemical Reaction Tougher Than The Rest – Disruptions Support US Propylene, Oil Price Weakness Favors Lower Global Chemical Prices Key Points: Global crude oil price weakness will expedite chemical price declines and likely curb early 2024 forecasts, putting...

North America Ethylene Chain Cost Advantage Significant To Asia & Europe, But Not Without Risk Of Turbulence In 2024

Daily Chemical Reaction North America Ethylene Chain Cost Advantage Significant To Asia & Europe, But Not Without Risk Of Turbulence In 2024 Key Points The US ethylene production cost advantage is sizable relative to Asia and Europe, and its spot and...

Weak Global Economy Weighs On Energy Transition Material Growth – Bad For Investment, Sets Stage For Future Inflation

Daily Chemical Reaction Weak Global Economy Weighs On Energy Transition Material Growth – Bad For Investment, Sets Stage For Future Inflation Key Points The C-MACC Clean Energy Mineral Index fell to a new YTD low in November, as weak economic conditions influence...

Abracadabra! – Is US Contract PE Price Support Based On Reality Or Wizardry, Hopes & Prayers?

Daily Chemical Reaction Abracadabra! – Is US Contract PE Price Support Based On Reality Or Wizardry, Hopes & Prayers? Key Points Global polyethylene (PE) spot prices have declined in 4Q23, putting downward pressure on US export prices and US contract reference...

European Chemical Producers In The Freezer – Temperature Falling As North America & China Exports Control Thermostat

Daily Chemical Reaction European Chemical Producers In The Freezer – Temperature Falling As North America & China Exports Control Thermostat Key Points: Global chemical markets will likely remain oversupplied in 2024. However, the trade balances between regions...

Oil versus Equities – Sending Very Different Messages for 2024

C-MACC Sunday Thematic & Weekly Recap 197 Oil versus Equities – Sending Very Different Messages for 2024 The lack of reaction in oil prices to the proposed new OPEC cuts suggests that the oil market is paying far more attention to weakening demand than before. By...

Origin Materials: Making Tough Choices Many Others Are Avoiding

C-MACC Sunday Thematic & Weekly Recap 196 Origin Materials: Making Tough Choices Many Others Are Avoiding As the global financial backdrop deteriorates for those needing capital, large and small, cash management has become more critical - it is not a time to run...

Fair Trade! Better China Relationships Help All, but Especially China

C-MACC Sunday Thematic & Weekly Recap 195 Fair Trade! Better China Relationships Help All, but Especially China Improving relationships with China is imperative to meet energy transition goals globally, but it may worsen competitiveness in the West and enhance...

Un-Plugged: The Worst of The Drunken Sailors – Making Life Harder

C-MACC Sunday Thematic & Weekly Recap 194 Un-Plugged: The Worst of The Drunken Sailors – Making Life Harder We had other plans for this report, but the Plug Power release on Friday commands “front page” analysis, as the implications for others could be severe....

Taking The Downturn Seriously: Most Are Getting There, Slowly

C-MACC Sunday Thematic & Weekly Recap 193 Taking The Downturn Seriously: Most Are Getting There, Slowly As we reach the tail end of earnings season, we see examples of feedstock advantages providing a competitive edge and global competition intensifying. Companies...

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From The Sustainability & Energy Transition Service

Food, Fuel and Materials: Competing for Inputs, Fuel has the Edge.

C-MACC Weekly Sustainability and Energy Transition Report Food, Fuel and Materials: Competing for Inputs, Fuel has the Edge. Looking at the Virgin Atlantic flight this week, noted below, we see an increasing risk that incentives to produce renewable fuels drag up...

COP28: Financing Headaches Are Not Only in Developing Countries

C-MACC Weekly Sustainability and Energy Transition Report COP28: Financing Headaches Are Not Only in Developing Countries In our somewhat provocative “bankruptcy” webcast yesterday, we looked at the consequences of delays and rising capital costs in multiple...

Rules and Ideals vs Objectives – Should All Plastic Be Recycled?

C-MACC Weekly Sustainability and Energy Transition Report Rules and Ideals vs Objectives – Should All Plastic Be Recycled? Not enough consumers want to pay higher prices for recycled polymers, placing a low value on the hydrogen content – could fuel subsidies attract...

Big Oil Dilemmas – Critical to Progress but Damned Regardless

C-MACC Weekly Sustainability and Energy Transition Report Big Oil Dilemmas – Critical to Progress but Damned Regardless While ExxonMobil may have underperformed BP and Shell since announcing the Pioneer deal, their strategy with regards to lower carbon fuels looks...

Emission Impossible: Where Is Tom Cruise When You Need Him?

C-MACC Weekly Sustainability and Energy Transition Report Emission Impossible: Where Is Tom Cruise When You Need Him? Regardless of the location of COP28 and who is hosting this was always likely to be a showdown between those wanting a practical approach & those...

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From tHE Hydrogen Economy Service

The Cost Of Developing Hydrogen Vectors Without Blue Is Too High

C-MACC Hydrogen Economy Weekly No.23 The Cost Of Developing Hydrogen Vectors Without Blue Is Too High Weekly Theme: Blue Hydrogen Will Be Key News Update Projects Update Ammonia/Methanol Update Power Update Next Week: Strategies For Equipment Makers Key Points...

The Region That Wants Hydrogen the Most Can Least Afford It

C-MACC Hydrogen Weekly Update 22 The Region That Wants Hydrogen the Most Can Least Afford It Weekly Theme: Hydrogen By Country News Update Projects Update Ammonia/Methanol Update Power Update Next Week: Competing With US Blue Key Points We revisit hydrogen economics...

Plugging Some Holes: Is There A Way Out Of The Slump

C-MACC Hydrogen Weekly Update 21 Plugging Some Holes: Is There A Way Out Of The Slump Weekly Theme: Hydrogen’s Complex Path News Update Projects Update Ammonia/Methanol Update Power Update Next Week: Regional Economics Review Key Points Willingness to pay looks like...

Blue Is The Color – Ammonia Is The Game

C-MACC Hydrogen Economy 20 Blue Is The Color – Ammonia Is The Game Weekly Theme: Is Ammonia A Viable Fuel News Update Projects Update Ammonia/Methanol Update Power Update Next Week: Plugging Some Holes C-MACC is hosting a webcast call on Thursday, November 16th at...

Finding Alternate Sources of Hydrogen Will Likely Be Critical

C-MACC Hydrogen Weekly Update 19 Finding Alternate Sources of Hydrogen Will Likely Be Critical Weekly Theme: Hydrogen Sources News Update Projects Update Ammonia/Methanol Update Power Update Next Week: Deep Dive On Ammonia Key Points As low-cost green hydrogen becomes...

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