China’s 0.5% YoY factory-gate inflation in March removed a trusted global relief valve, forcing markets to underwrite firmer resin and intermediate floors, slower cost deflation,
1st Topic of the Week: Aluminum is earning a deliverability premium as power costs rise and buyers pre-cover supply, which we expect to widen dispersion
1st Topic of the Week: Oil-corn price dispersion is reviving the policy case for permanent E15 expansion. Could energy inflation accelerate ethanol demand faster than
Europe’s chemical sector return outlook now hinges far less on cyclical recovery and far more on feedstock structure, carbon exposure, and policy-backed demand durability amid
Prolonged petrochemical weakness reflects oversupply not demand collapse, extending the cycle and shifting strategy from growth to margin defense, cost-curve control, and execution-led recovery outcomes.
1st Topic of the Week: Critical mineral markets increasingly reward faster processing execution with cost and value-chain advantages, but will compressed timelines undermine return profiles
The fundamental health of the global ammonia market increasingly hinges on logistics, reliability, and timing constraints, making basis risk and seasonal timing more decisive than
1st Topic of the Week: Are copper and lithium entering a policy-anchored price regime where security-driven supply caps upside while speculative flows amplify volatility across
General Thoughts: Global chemical downturn into 2026 will force ownership change and capital discipline, restructuring across Europe and Asia ex-China, while redefining low-cost integration as
Global Market Analysis There Will Be Blood, Closures: Global Return Hurdles Further Harden Into 2026 Key Findings Exhibit 1: Real rates strengthen globally in late
Sign up below to get updates on our events, publications, and insights—straight to your inbox.
