China’s industrial output now structurally outpaces consumption, recasting GDP signals; executives must shift from demand metrics to tracking state-fueled value-added overcapacity shaping trade, pricing, and
Global Market Analysis Gridlock Rock: High Voltage, Low Certainty, No Relief Key Findings Exhibit 1: The US electricity consumer price index rose again MoM in
US policy shifts at the close of last week reanchor natural gas, hydropower, geothermal, and nuclear as baseload winners, while dismantling support for wind, solar,
General Thoughts: The US dollar posted its worst first-half performance since 1973 in 1H25, and this decline lacks proper attention, as it increasingly favors US
China is executing a long-cycle, state-aligned petrochemical strategy built on flexible feedstocks, converting refining into chemical scale and pricing advantage, while others contract under short-term
General Thoughts: Volatility demands agility in agri-energy markets, amid policy shifts and crop price fluctuations, which create headwinds likely to hurt ammonia market sentiment, despite
General Thoughts: US farmer sentiment has surged, but beneath the optimism lie structural pressures, including crop price weakness, lower margins, and a volatile demand setting,
General Thoughts: The North American polyvinyl chloride (PVC) market benefits from a low-cost production position, enabling the continued profitable production push towards Europe and other
Global feedstock values shifted in favor of a flatter global chemical production cost curve in the first week of 4Q23, putting downward pressure on recent
Western consumers will likely face another year of higher prices relative to Asia, but it puts European producers most at risk with its cost disadvantage
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