US Ethylene Chain Benefits Flow To Both Domestic Producers & Buyers, Not So In Propylene

The Weekly Catalyst

US Ethylene Chain Benefits Flow To Both Domestic Producers & Buyers, Not So In Propylene

  • Chemical Market Trends: The North American ethylene chain is regionally cost-advantaged for producers and non-integrated buyers, but will this setting persist? Register for our March 13 ethylene market webcast HERE.
  • Polymer Market Trends: Global polymer price movements WoW varied across primary regions, and we flag US polyethylene (PE) showing the most strength globally, while NW Europe PE reflected the most weakness.  
  • Feedstock Market Trends: The North American chemical feedstock cost advantage rose compared to Ex-US markets WoW, as Crude Oil, ex-US natural gas, and naphtha prices rose relative to US natural gas and NGLs.  
  • Agriculture Market Trends: Crop prices increased WoW, while US ammonia production costs moved lower and ex-US production costs moved high – a positive development for North American ammonia producers.

Exhibit 1 – Chart of the Day: US ethylene contracts fell slightly in February, staying below Europe and Asia spot levels.

Source: Bloomberg, C-MACC Analysis, March 2024


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