Most US Integrated Polymer Margins Remain Above Their 1Q24 Average, Europe & Asia Margins Are Relatively Lower

The Weekly Catalyst

Most US Integrated Polymer Margins Remain Above Their 1Q24 Average, Europe & Asia Margins Are Relatively Lower

  • Polymer Market Trends: US spot polymer prices reflect downward pressure QTD but improvement in the US feedstock cost advantage YTD relative to Asia and Europe keeps PE and PVC margins above 1Q average levels.    
  • Chemical Market Trends: Global base and intermediate spot chemical prices were largely unchanged WoW, with the most significant support being seen in the US and the most notable weakness being seen in Europe.
  • Feedstock Market Trends: Crude oil prices declined WoW at a similar rate at US natural gas, holding the oil-to-gas ratio near multi-year highs, and Ex-US naphtha values are above the five-year range relative to US ethane.
  • Agriculture Market Trends: Corn prices moved higher WoW, Ex-US natural gas prices rebounded relative to US natural gas WoW, and the ammonia market shows global support which is a net plus for US producer margins.

Exhibit 1 – Chart of the Day: US PE & PVC margins are higher than their 1Q24 average, US PP margins similar with 1Q.

Source: Bloomberg, C-MACC Analysis, April 2024


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