1st Topic of the Week: As EPR increasingly shifts packaging...
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1st Topic of the Week: As EPR increasingly shifts packaging...
Read MoreGeneral Thoughts: Ammonia’s fertilizer-anchored cycle diverges from most chemicals, signaling...
Read MoreGeneral Thoughts: Value premia earned through differentiation at cycle troughs...
Read MoreGeneral Thoughts: Natural gas volatility now translates into risk, as...
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1st Topic of the Week: As EPR increasingly shifts packaging economics, which value-chain players will redesign fastest to protect margins, and who risks absorbing compounding

General Thoughts: Ammonia’s fertilizer-anchored cycle diverges from most chemicals, signaling tight supply and investment incentives, while petrochemicals face surplus-driven signals discouraging growth capital.
Supply Chain/Commodities:

General Thoughts: Value premia earned through differentiation at cycle troughs can signal future share gains, enabling advantaged producers to run hard, more consistently price on

General Thoughts: Natural gas volatility now translates into risk, as export integration, consolidation, and midstream optionality reprice feedstock economics, slow marginal investment, and lift risk

General Thoughts: Energy retracement and post-storm natural gas normalization begin to restore relative cost balance, enabling advantaged producers to outperform, while persistent oversupply constrains pricing

Prolonged petrochemical weakness reflects oversupply not demand collapse, extending the cycle and shifting strategy from growth to margin defense, cost-curve control, and execution-led recovery outcomes.

1st Topic of the Week: Critical mineral markets increasingly reward faster processing execution with cost and value-chain advantages, but will compressed timelines undermine return profiles

Polyvinyl Chloride – January’26 Monthly Price Expectation Report
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