Navigating The Tempest: Multiple Global Concerns Favor Chaos, Commodity Price Volatility Set To Rise Near Term    

Daily Chemical Reaction

Navigating The Tempest: Multiple Global Concerns Favor Chaos, Commodity Price Volatility Set To Rise Near Term   

Key Findings

  • General Thoughts: We evaluate, identify, and discuss relevant chemical and associated market happenings on an ongoing basis at C-MACC – our recent partnership with ChemOrbis will heighten both of our global efforts.
  • Supply Chain/Commodities: We discuss Lanxess selling its urethanes business to Ube, following an array of recent news of strategic alignment/restructuring efforts from European chemical producers across their global portfolios.
  • Energy/Upstream: We revisit the topic of power supply growth struggling to keep pace with demand, highlighting more news flow targeting the significant power requirements of AI/data centers on top of the electrification wave.
  • Sustainability/Energy Transition: We highlight the recent weakness in US ethanol margins as ethanol prices moderate and corn costs rise. We also discuss the demand-pull on corn (and other crops) to make bio-products.
  • Downstream/Other Chemicals: We provide a few thoughts on the pending EU vote to further lift EV tariffs on China, our broader auto market views, and the US port strikes and oil-price risks from rising Middle East tensions.

Exhibit 1: US spot ethylene prices drop sharply mid-week, and US spot propylene and benzene prices also decline.

Source: Bloomberg, C-MACC Analysis, October 2024

See the PDF below for all charts, tables, and diagrams


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